Thursday, June 26, 2008

What's with the Crazy Poll Number?

A 15 point spread in the national polls? Really? The margin of error is typical 3-4 points, but this spread suggests someone doesn't know how to run a poll, or at least doesn't know how to run a fair poll. Is this 'Obama bounce' manufactured or have the last two weeks given American's incredibly mixed feelings?







Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 06/15 - 06/25 -- 48.0 41.2 Obama +6.8
Gallup Tracking 06/23 - 06/25 2605 RV 44 44 Tie
Rasmussen Tracking 06/23 - 06/25 3000 LV 49 45 Obama +4.0
LA Times/Bloomberg 06/19 - 06/23 1115 RV 49 37 Obama +12.0
Newsweek 06/18 - 06/19 896 RV 51 36 Obama +15.0
FOX News 06/17 - 06/18 900 RV 45 41 Obama +4.0
USA Today/Gallup 06/15 - 06/19 1310 LV 50 44 Obama +6.0

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