In the 2000 presidential race, Al Gore defeated George W. Bush in Pennsylvania by 51% to 46%, a little more than 200,000 votes out of 4.75 million cast. In 2004, the race was closer, with John beating GWB by roughly 51% to 49%, with 145,000 votes separating the two candidates out of 5.7 million cast. Pennsylvania is a Blue state -- but just barely.
In 2008, John McCain is polling slightly ahead of Barack Obama. Pennsylvanians should expect to see a lot of both candidates this summer and fall as they fight for our 21 electoral votes. As you recall, Hillary Clinton won the Democrats' Primary by a hefty 9.2%. The Democrats have a big registration edge, but Obama (especially after the "bitter" comments) is not very popular among Democrats outside Philadelphia.
If John McCain wins this state -- and does the same in neighboring Ohio (another battleground state) -- he'll probably be President-elect early on the morning of Nov. 5.
I write regularly about Pennsylvania politics on: http://pennsylvaniaforjohnmccain.blogspot.com.
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